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According to a weekly Economist/YouGov poll, Elizabeth Warren has surpassed Joe Biden and now leads the primary field by 4%. She has been enjoying a surge in the polls in recent weeks, and now she is the contender to beat.

Warren also leads Joseph Biden in an Iowa poll. According to the Des Moines Register, Warren has a 2% lead over Biden, with 22% of likely caucusgoers listing her as first choice for president. Twenty-percent favor Biden, with only 11% favoring Bernie Sanders.

Warren has been gaining steam for awhile now. According to several polls in early September, the top five Democrats are all beating Trump in a projected 2020 election. Bernie Sanders, for example, was 12 points up on Trump in that poll, and Warren was 11 points over Trump. This represents a big gain for Warren––an additional four points since July. Compared to other Democratic candidates for presidential nomination, Warren is the woman to beat since she is seen more favorably than any other Democratic candidate.

Her likeableness is working out in her favor, as this recent Iowa poll demonstrated. Her keen mind for policy, her visible passion, and her intellect are balanced out by her ability to connect to the average American through personal anecdotes. As a result, she doesn’t appear too “Ivory Tower” like Obama did. As the Iowa Caucus nears, you can bet that Trump will lash out at Warren as much as possible in order to hurt her going into that primary. The weaker she is going in, the better he’ll have.

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