Betting website has Trump’s odds of impeachment at 75% (and climbing)Posted by Robert Leonard / October 25, 2019
The betting website PredictIt has Trump’s odds of being impeached in the House at 75%––and potentially climbing. As I write this, the odds have jumped between 75 and 78%. The odds spiked Wednesday morning after Bill Taylor, the acting Ukraine ambassador, testified that Trump explicitly connected US aide to the Ukraine’s help in the 2020 election.
Polls are also indicating a rising approval of the impeachment investigations. The most recent polls suggest that support for Trump’s impeachment is rising. Fifty-five percent of voters now approve of the investigation, showing a slow but steady increase.
Another recent poll––taken before Trump’s disastrous Turkey incident––shows that approval of the impeachment investigations into him is on the rise. Fifty-four percent of Americans approve of the investigation, with only 44% disapproving of the investigations. Worse for Trump, 58% of respondents believe that Trump definitely or probably did something that constitutes “grounds for impeachment.” Most of the increase comes from moderate or independent-leaning Democrats, but some is coming from Republicans.
These polls indicate a major shift in public opinions about Trump’s impeachment. A majority of Americans now support the proceedings. 58% of Americans think the impeachment proceedings are correct––including 80% Democrats and 30% Republicans. A whopping 49% of Americans believe the House should call for Trump’s removal from office. What’s worse for Trump: GOP support for impeachment is on the rise.
Public support for impeaching Trump is higher than both Nixon and Clinton during their impeachments. And, according to new polls, support for impeaching Trump is on the rise.
An ABC News-Ipsos survey reveals that 60% of Americans think that it’s a serious problem that Trump asked the Ukrainian president to investigate Joe Biden. Only 36% of respondents say it’s not serious. A YouGov poll, meanwhile, shows that 55% of Americans think the impeachment probe is necessary, while 45% think it is unnecessary.