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Technology news and prediction markets.

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Moving now24h · top 8 movers
98%
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$68K vol
95%
Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 Pro before Oct 1, 2026? - Before Oct 2026$27K vol
5%
Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Jan 1, 2027? - Before 2027$22K vol
3%
Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Oct 1, 2026? - Before October$19K vol
30%
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?$16K vol
2%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?$10K vol
68%
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?$9K vol

Federal Judge Rules Pentagon's Classification of Anthropic as National Security Risk Was Illegal

A federal judge struck down the Pentagon's blacklist of AI startup Anthropic, ruling the administration's actions constituted unlawful retaliation.

Why it mattersA federal court has overturned a significant government action against a top AI firm, marking a major legal victory for Anthropic.

Exclusive: Nvidia Reportedly Reaches Agreement to Acquire AI Platform Hugging Face for $12.9 Billion

Nvidia is set to acquire the popular open-source AI hub Hugging Face for nearly $13 billion to further solidify its dominance in the artificial intelligence sector.

Why it mattersThis massive acquisition, if true, would represent one of the most significant consolidations in the AI industry to date.

Anthropic Introduces Standard for AI Agents to Operate Physical Laboratory and Manufacturing Equipment

Anthropic has released new tools and standards that allow AI agents to control physical hardware and software in scientific and industrial environments.

Why it mattersAnthropic is setting a new technical precedent for how AI models interact with physical infrastructure, marking a shift from software to hardware control.

Over 100 Tech Companies Call for Immediate Collective Action to Secure Infrastructure Against AI-Powered Cyberattacks

Major tech firms including OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google are warning of a narrow window to bolster cybersecurity defenses against escalating AI-driven threats.

Why it mattersA broad coalition of tech firms is signaling urgency regarding the evolving cybersecurity landscape driven by AI threats.
4,064 in rollup · sorted by volume

The same prediction markets that move the headlines above — priced live across Kalshi and the Polymarket family. Filter by sport to dig in.

Top tech markets12 of 48 · sorted by volume
MarketYesVolumeKKalshiPPolymarket
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
No
30%$16KK30%P30%
Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 Pro before Oct 1, 2026? - Before Oct 2026
Yes
95%$27KK95%
Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Jan 1, 2027? - Before 2027
Yes
5%$22KK5%
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?
Yes
68%$9KP68%
GitHub.com critical incident by August 31, 2026?
No
50%$2KP50%
Will OpenAI announce the creation of AGI? - Before 2030
Yes
48%$2KK48%
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
No
35%$3KP35%
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Yes
64%$3KP64%
Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in any legal vehicle that owns, directly or indirectly, OpenAI’s for-profit operating entity? - OpenAI
Yes
12%$4KK12%
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?
No
43%$1KP43%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.42ºC and 1.45ºC in August 2026?
No
24%$2KP24%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026?
No
27%$2KP27%