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LIVE · updated 27s ago

Technology news and prediction markets.

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Moving now24h · top 8 movers
76%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$9K vol
1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 24, 2026?$9K vol
99%
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?$9K vol
99%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$8K vol
91%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$7K vol
0%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$6K vol
86%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$5K vol
1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 30, 2026?$5K vol
2,881 in rollup · sorted by volume

The same prediction markets that move the headlines above — priced live across Kalshi and the Polymarket family. Filter by sport to dig in.

Top tech markets12 of 64 · sorted by volume
MarketYesVolumeKKalshiPPolymarket
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
No
46%$705K39%P46%
Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
No
42%$3KP42%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes
76%$9KP76%
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Yes
56%$2KP56%
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Yes
70%$3KP70%
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
No
48%$691P48%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?
No
39%$1KP39%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes
86%$5KP86%
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
No
39%$1KP39%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
Yes
91%$7KP91%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
No
28%$2KP28%
ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?
No
45%$641P45%