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Technology news and prediction markets.

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Moving now24h · top 8 movers
99%
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by December 31, 2026?$73K vol
98%
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?$72K vol
94%
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$58K vol
77%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$58K vol
18%
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?$47K vol
11%
Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026?$27K vol
96%
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?$23K vol
0%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$21K vol
3,077 in rollup · sorted by volume

The same prediction markets that move the headlines above — priced live across Kalshi and the Polymarket family. Filter by sport to dig in.

Top tech markets12 of 65 · sorted by volume
MarketYesVolumeKKalshiPPolymarket
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes
77%$58KP77%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?
No
34%$15KP34%
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?
No
53%$1KP53%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes
79%$11KP79%
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Yes
63%$3KP63%
Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
No
36%$3KP36%
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes
67%$3KP67%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
No
26%$4KP26%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes
63%$1KP63%
OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?
No
40%$1KP40%
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?
Yes
64%$1KP64%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes
86%$5KP86%