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24h Tech Volume
$501K
4,506 active contracts ↓
Market activity24h volume
91%
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?$13K vol
100%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?$11K vol
87%
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?$10K vol
98%
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?$10K vol
94%
Google market share this week? - Above 20.0%$9K vol
6%
What will be the top AI model this month? - claude-fable-5.1-max$8K vol
9%
What will be the top AI model on Sep 28, 2026? - claude-fable-5.1-max$6K vol

U.S. Appeals Court Upholds Pentagon's Designation of Anthropic as National Security Supply Chain Risk

A federal appeals court has ruled that the Pentagon can maintain its classification of Anthropic as a security risk, barring the firm from military contracts.

Why it mattersThe court's decision marks a significant legal precedent for AI companies dealing with federal military contracts.
4,506 active contracts

Active prediction markets covering tech.

Top tech markets12 of 41 · sorted by volume
MarketYesVolumeKKalshiPPolymarket
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?
Yes
91%$13K—P91%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
100%$11K—P100%
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
87%$10K—P87%
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
98%$10K—P98%
Google market share this week? - Above 20.0%
Yes
94%$9KK94%—
What will be the top AI model this month? - claude-fable-5.1-max
Yes
6%$8KK6%—
What will be the top AI model on Sep 28, 2026? - claude-fable-5.1-max
Yes
9%$6KK9%—
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Yes
0%$6K—P0%
Best AI this week - Claude:: Anthropic
Yes
99%$6KK99%—
Top Chinese AI Company this month? - Tencent
Yes
1%$5KK1%—
Best AI in Sep 2026? - Claude:: Anthropic
Yes
99%$5KK99%—