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Technology news and prediction markets.

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Moving now24h · top 8 movers
100%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$9K vol
1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 24, 2026?$9K vol
100%
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?$9K vol
100%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$8K vol
96%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$7K vol
0%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$6K vol
92%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$5K vol
0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 30, 2026?$5K vol

Innolight shares fall 9% in Hong Kong market debut

Innolight's shares declined during its Hong Kong debut as the company faces pressures from the ongoing US-China technological competition in the AI sector.

Why it mattersThe market debut of a key AI-sector player highlights geopolitical and trade pressures in the global semiconductor market.
More:Forbes
2,881 in rollup · sorted by volume

The same prediction markets that move the headlines above — priced live across Kalshi and the Polymarket family. Filter by sport to dig in.

Top tech markets12 of 64 · sorted by volume
MarketYesVolumeKKalshiPPolymarket
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
No
32%$705K25%P32%
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
No
54%$1KP54%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?
No
45%$1KP45%
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Yes
64%$2KP64%
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Yes
74%$3KP74%
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
No
51%$543P51%
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
No
59%$691P59%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
Yes
96%$7KP96%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes
92%$5KP92%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
No
22%$2KP22%
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?
Yes
74%$1KP74%
ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?
No
35%$641P35%