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Politics prediction markets

LIVE · updated 2m ago

Election and policy markets.

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24h Politics Volume
$3.6M
16,063 markets · all markets ↓
Moving now24h · top 8 movers
0%
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$507K vol
0%
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida?$277K vol
12%
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Texas$267K vol
13%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?$97K vol
2%
Will Haley Stevens be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Michigan?$92K vol
88%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?$86K vol
1%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?$77K vol
98%
Will Abdul El-Sayed be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Michigan?$63K vol
16,063 in rollup · sorted by volume

The same prediction markets that move the headlines above — priced live across Kalshi and the Polymarket family. Filter by sport to dig in.

Top politics markets12 of 60 · sorted by volume
MarketYesVolumeKKalshiPPolymarket
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes
66%$41KK66%P65%
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Texas
Yes
12%$267KK12%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
No
46%$38KP46%
Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be above 15%?
Yes
61%$28KK61%
Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
Yes
64%$30KK64%
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
Yes
51%$13KP51%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
No
35%$8KK35%P30%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes
87%$53KP87%
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
Yes
71%$23KK71%
Who will win the governorship in California?
Yes
5%$47KK5%