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Politics prediction markets

LIVE · updated 2m ago

Election and policy markets.

1Today's politics news2Live odds3Save & track
24h Politics Volume
$2.6M
22,984 markets · all markets ↓
Moving now24h · top 8 movers
66%
Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? - Darline Graham Nordone$167K vol
34%
Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? - Ralph Norman$128K vol
7%
Trump out as President before 2027?$128K vol
99%
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?$64K vol
3%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$41K vol
92%
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?$40K vol

Supreme Court Upholds Executive Order Restricting Mail-In Ballot Procedures

The Supreme Court has allowed the Trump administration to implement new mail-in ballot regulations, sparking concerns over potential voter disenfranchisement.

Why it mattersThe Supreme Court issued a major ruling regarding election administration as ballot regulations face legal scrutiny.
22,984 in rollup · sorted by volume

The same prediction markets that move the headlines above — priced live across Kalshi and the Polymarket family. Filter by sport to dig in.

Top politics markets12 of 50 · sorted by volume
MarketYesVolumeKKalshiPPolymarket
Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? - Darline Graham Nordone
Yes
66%$167KK66%
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
7%$128KP7%
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas? - Republican party:: Republican party
Yes
52%$19KK52%
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Iowa? - Democratic party:: Democratic party
Yes
45%$12KK45%
Will Republicans win the U.S. Senate in 2026? - Republican Party
Yes
54%$11KK54%
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary of United States? - ::
Yes
37%$15KK37%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes
72%$20KP72%
Will Genter Drummond be the Republican nominee for Governor in Oklahoma? - Gentner Drummond
Yes
23%$20KK23%
Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Senate special election runoff be at least 6%? - Darline Graham, ≥6%
Yes
35%$12KK35%